Christie Courting Gun Voters
But he’s not getting much traction.
By Jeff Knox
(July 8, 2015) Was anyone surprised when Chris Christie officially announced his candidacy for President of the United States? Christie has been prominently featured as a possible presidential contender for years, and in all of that time, I and others in the rights movement have been saying that Christie could never get the support of gun voters, and without gun voter support, a Republican presidential win is unlikely – just ask John McCain and Mitt Romney, and George H.W. Bush, Bob Dole, and Gerald Ford.
Just as the media and gun control activists make the mistake of thinking that the National Rifle Association is “the gun lobby,” so too do most Republican politicians think that an NRA endorsement is all they need to seal up gun voter support. The reality is that, even with some five million members, the NRA is only able to significantly impact an election if the activist core of those members, along with the activist core of various other rights-focused firearm groups, actively get behind the candidate. The overlap among these activists in the various groups is extensive, and these are people who are paying attention to politics all year long, not just in the three months leading up to an election. While an NRA endorsement can help reinforce, and fuel the work of the serious activists, these folks make their own decisions. If the year-round core activists aren’t willing to get behind a candidate they don’t trust, no amount of NRA praise is going to change their minds, and without their support, the NRA is only able to sway the least-active, and least informed of their membership. In a state with 50,000 NRA members, maybe 5,000 of those will be politically active, and most of those will also be members of a state grass roots group. Politicians might be able to cajole an endorsement out of the suits at NRA HQ, but unless they can convince the guys who actually do the work on the ground, they’re just spinning their wheels.